BJP hopes to replicate its success from 2019 in Rajasthan when it secured 24 out of the 25 seats, with its ally RLP clinching one seat. In 2014 and 2019, the BJP-led NDA, won all the 25 seats in Rajasthan. The BJP is likely to win 18-23 seats, News18 exit poll predicted.
As Rajasthan gears up for the upcoming 2024 Lok Sabha elections, all eyes are on the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) as it aims to continue its stronghold in the state. In the previous elections of 2019, the BJP showcased a sweeping victory by securing 24 out of the 25 seats in the state, while its ally, Rashtriya Loktantrik Party (RLP), clinched the remaining seat.
The political landscape in Rajasthan has been dominated by the BJP for the last two general elections. In both 2014 and 2019, the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) managed to capture all 25 seats in the state, reflecting a formidable grip over the electorate. However, a recent exit poll conducted by News18 suggests that while the BJP is still set to perform strongly, it may not entirely replicate its previous spotless record. According to the poll, the BJP is projected to win between 18 to 23 seats in the 2024 elections.
This slight drop in the number of seats predicted for the BJP does not necessarily signify a significant loss of support. The party has been known for its strong organizational structure and effective ground-level strategies. Political analysts argue that even a minor reduction in the number of seats won can still be considered a strong performance, given the dynamics of voter behavior and local issues that often influence general elections.
The 2019 victory for the BJP in Rajasthan was a testament to the party’s ability to connect with voters across different demographics. The party’s campaign focused on issues such as national security, development projects, and welfare schemes which resonated well with the electorate. Given this backdrop, the BJP’s campaign strategy for 2024 will likely revolve around similar themes, with an added focus on addressing current local concerns and aspirations.
Despite the optimistic exit poll predictions, the BJP cannot afford to be complacent.
. The Congress party, which is the primary opposition in the state, has been making concerted efforts to regain its footing. The Congress-led government in Rajasthan, under the leadership of Chief Minister Ashok Gehlot, has been working to win back the trust of the voters by launching various social welfare schemes and development projects. This has created a competitive political environment that the BJP will need to navigate carefully.
Additionally, voter sentiment can be unpredictable, particularly in a state like Rajasthan where issues of agrarian distress, unemployment, and caste dynamics play a crucial role in shaping electoral outcomes. The BJP will need to ensure that it addresses these issues effectively in its campaign to retain its dominance.
The role of local leaders and candidates will also be pivotal in the upcoming elections. While the party’s central leadership and national campaign themes provide a broad framework, it is the local candidates who connect with the voters on the ground. The BJP’s strategy has always included a focus on selecting strong local candidates who can resonate with the community’s aspirations and grievances.
Furthermore, the advent of social media and digital campaigning has added a new dimension to electioneering. The BJP has been particularly adept at utilizing digital platforms to reach out to a wider audience, disseminating its message, and countering opposition narratives. This digital prowess will likely play a significant role in the 2024 elections as well.
In conclusion, while the News18 exit poll predicts a robust performance for the BJP in Rajasthan’s 2024 Lok Sabha elections, political campaigns are dynamic and often subject to sudden shifts due to various factors. The BJP’s challenge will be to maintain its previous momentum while effectively addressing any emerging local issues and countering the opposition’s efforts. As the election dates approach, the political landscape in Rajasthan will undoubtedly witness intense campaigning and strategic maneuvers from all major parties. The final outcome will not only impact the state’s representation in the Lok Sabha but also reflect broader political trends in the Indian political arena.
